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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+3.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+4.72vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.29+4.05vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.36+6.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.63vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20-1.74vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-3.03vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42+1.79vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.82-0.57vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.89vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.77-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.53+3.02vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.68+2.56vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.02-0.17vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-4.36vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-1.00+0.05vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.12-3.26vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.68-12.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Yale University4.240.3%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.34Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.97Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.43University of South Florida1.820.0%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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16.02University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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16.56Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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14.83Connecticut College0.020.0%1st Place
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11.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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17.05Wesleyan University-1.000.0%1st Place
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14.74Boston University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 30.7% | 23.1% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fullerton | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.8% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Orrin Starr | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 18.6% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 23.2% | 26.6% |
| John Pearson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 8.7% |
| Braden Foster | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Streich | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 39.0% |
| Emily Walker | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 6.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.