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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+4.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+0.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+2.27vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.29+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09-0.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.82+1.84vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77-0.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.36+0.22vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.53+4.54vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-2.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.12+0.91vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.68+1.47vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.02-0.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-5.18vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.62-1.40vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.42-8.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.04Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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3.03Yale University4.240.3%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida1.820.0%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.22Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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16.54University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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14.91Boston University0.120.0%1st Place
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16.47Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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15.05Connecticut College0.020.0%1st Place
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11.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.0%1st Place
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16.6Wesleyan University-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.5% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 29.1% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Fullerton | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Orrin Starr | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 25.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Walker | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 7.1% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 31.2% |
| John Pearson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 8.7% |
| Braden Foster | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emma Johnson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 26.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.