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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+1.53vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.73+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.25+2.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.34-1.55vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.56+0.19vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01-1.50vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.53-1.61vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.67+0.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy0.26-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
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3.55Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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2.45U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
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5.19SUNY Maritime College1.560.1%1st Place
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4.5Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.39McGill University1.530.1%1st Place
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8.25Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 30.6% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 13.2% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 4.4% |
| Devin Laviano | 32.0% | 26.8% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Edward Titcomb | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Mark Abraao York | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 2.3% |
| William Nunn | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 17.4% | 66.4% |
| David Geer | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 16.7% | 37.6% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.