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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.34+1.54vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+2.74vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.73+0.42vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.53+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.25+0.72vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.33-3.54vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.56-1.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy0.26-0.74vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.67-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
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4.74Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.42Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
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5.28McGill University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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2.46Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
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5.33SUNY Maritime College1.560.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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8.24Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Laviano | 29.3% | 26.7% | 21.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 16.4% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mark Abraao York | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 1.8% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 16.3% | 5.2% |
| Daniel Eichler | 30.7% | 29.2% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 5.7% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
| David Geer | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 37.0% | 24.3% |
| William Nunn | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 19.1% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.