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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+2.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.34+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.25+2.89vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.33-1.56vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.53+0.21vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.85-1.23vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.56-1.72vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.67+0.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy0.26-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
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2.61U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
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5.89University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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2.44Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
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5.21McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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4.77Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.28SUNY Maritime College1.560.1%1st Place
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8.23Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 18.7% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 26.3% | 28.0% | 20.8% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 4.4% |
| Daniel Eichler | 32.0% | 26.4% | 20.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Abraao York | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Rudy Normann | 5.4% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 2.1% |
| William Nunn | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 17.3% | 66.5% |
| David Geer | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 37.1% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.