Race 1A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Rees 40.3% 27.4% 16.7% 8.6% 5.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 14.4% 16.0% 17.6% 16.3% 13.2% 10.4% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 13.6% 17.2% 17.5% 15.9% 15.2% 10.3% 5.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 7.6% 11.3% 12.7% 14.7% 16.2% 13.3% 11.4% 7.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Marten Kendrick 4.5% 4.1% 7.1% 8.5% 9.8% 12.8% 14.5% 14.2% 13.7% 9.8% 1.0%
John Roberts 4.9% 7.0% 8.4% 11.6% 12.4% 13.8% 15.1% 12.2% 10.0% 4.4% 0.2%
John Sipp 1.9% 3.5% 2.7% 2.9% 5.1% 7.1% 10.2% 14.8% 21.0% 24.6% 6.2%
Mark Thompson 2.5% 1.9% 3.7% 4.4% 6.7% 9.2% 11.8% 16.8% 17.3% 21.5% 4.2%
Cassie Todd 1.9% 2.3% 3.4% 2.8% 3.9% 6.0% 9.4% 13.2% 22.1% 26.5% 8.5%
Max Thompson 7.9% 9.1% 10.1% 13.7% 12.2% 15.3% 12.4% 10.6% 6.4% 2.2% 0.1%
Ryan Welch 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.5% 3.6% 3.8% 9.1% 79.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.