Race 2A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jason D'Agostino 12.9% 14.9% 17.8% 17.1% 14.4% 11.8% 7.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 9.3% 11.9% 11.2% 14.7% 15.7% 13.4% 11.8% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Charles Rees 39.5% 26.3% 16.9% 10.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cassie Todd 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.2% 5.4% 7.6% 14.3% 22.5% 28.8% 7.5%
Mark Thompson 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 4.1% 7.3% 6.5% 12.6% 14.9% 20.2% 21.1% 5.0%
Marten Kendrick 3.1% 6.3% 6.7% 7.1% 10.3% 11.3% 15.5% 18.1% 12.7% 7.9% 1.0%
John Roberts 7.1% 7.2% 8.5% 11.4% 12.6% 14.7% 14.8% 10.7% 8.4% 4.0% 0.6%
John Sipp 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 4.8% 7.9% 11.0% 14.7% 19.4% 25.9% 6.3%
Andrew Baird 14.6% 18.3% 18.6% 14.1% 13.3% 11.5% 5.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Max Thompson 7.8% 8.6% 10.9% 13.1% 13.1% 14.6% 12.1% 11.5% 6.0% 2.2% 0.1%
Ryan Welch 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 5.4% 8.5% 79.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.