Race 3A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Rees 39.8% 27.0% 17.6% 9.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 14.2% 16.7% 16.8% 15.4% 14.5% 11.9% 6.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
John Roberts 5.4% 6.0% 8.5% 10.9% 10.5% 13.0% 16.5% 15.1% 9.6% 3.8% 0.7%
Daniel Lawless 8.0% 9.6% 12.8% 14.7% 17.0% 13.3% 11.9% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.0%
John Sipp 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 4.0% 4.7% 6.7% 9.7% 12.9% 19.1% 28.5% 7.5%
Andrew Baird 15.4% 18.3% 18.3% 16.8% 12.2% 8.9% 5.4% 2.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Cassie Todd 1.8% 3.3% 2.4% 3.5% 5.4% 6.4% 10.4% 14.3% 21.3% 25.1% 6.1%
Mark Thompson 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 4.5% 7.2% 9.1% 10.4% 15.7% 19.8% 21.2% 4.5%
Max Thompson 6.3% 8.5% 10.6% 12.2% 13.6% 15.8% 12.5% 10.4% 6.3% 3.4% 0.4%
Marten Kendrick 4.0% 5.8% 7.6% 8.0% 10.1% 13.1% 14.5% 15.5% 13.2% 7.4% 0.8%
Ryan Welch 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.9% 2.7% 4.3% 8.5% 80.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.