Race 4A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Rees 41.7% 24.8% 17.0% 10.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 8.0% 12.1% 13.7% 15.9% 13.4% 13.3% 10.4% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Jason D'Agostino 11.2% 15.2% 18.5% 16.5% 14.3% 10.4% 8.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
John Roberts 4.9% 6.5% 7.1% 9.3% 13.1% 15.7% 15.6% 13.4% 9.8% 4.2% 0.4%
Andrew Baird 16.7% 19.8% 14.1% 16.5% 13.8% 7.9% 6.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Conner Killham 3.5% 5.5% 6.1% 8.3% 10.9% 13.9% 12.9% 16.1% 13.0% 8.3% 1.5%
John Sipp 1.8% 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 5.2% 7.8% 9.8% 12.0% 23.8% 24.1% 6.4%
Mark Thompson 2.7% 2.1% 3.6% 5.0% 5.6% 9.1% 12.9% 16.6% 15.7% 21.4% 5.3%
Cassie Todd 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 3.3% 5.2% 5.1% 8.7% 13.5% 21.0% 28.4% 7.7%
Ryan Welch 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 3.0% 4.6% 9.8% 78.2%
Max Thompson 7.4% 8.3% 12.7% 12.4% 13.6% 14.5% 13.0% 8.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.