Race 5A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Rees 39.5% 27.3% 17.6% 8.0% 6.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 9.6% 11.8% 11.4% 15.6% 15.5% 13.0% 11.6% 6.2% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Cassie Todd 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 5.3% 6.2% 7.9% 12.7% 21.8% 29.1% 7.7%
Jason D'Agostino 12.9% 14.5% 18.5% 16.8% 13.5% 11.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
John Roberts 5.6% 7.9% 7.5% 10.9% 11.6% 14.2% 15.6% 12.3% 8.8% 5.0% 0.6%
Andrew Baird 15.0% 18.7% 18.5% 16.3% 11.4% 8.7% 6.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Conner Killham 5.1% 4.5% 7.9% 8.4% 10.5% 13.3% 14.9% 16.9% 10.2% 6.7% 1.6%
John Sipp 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 3.6% 4.7% 9.1% 9.1% 14.0% 21.8% 25.4% 6.2%
Max Thompson 6.4% 8.6% 9.8% 11.9% 15.0% 14.5% 13.6% 9.7% 7.1% 3.0% 0.4%
Mark Thompson 2.0% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 5.5% 8.2% 11.2% 17.8% 19.6% 19.6% 4.8%
Ryan Welch 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 3.2% 4.3% 9.5% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.