Race 6A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel Lawless 7.5% 10.7% 13.5% 15.3% 15.4% 14.1% 10.9% 8.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 15.8% 18.7% 19.4% 16.0% 10.9% 10.2% 5.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Rees 39.0% 27.0% 15.8% 10.0% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Roberts 4.5% 7.3% 7.3% 9.1% 11.8% 16.4% 15.1% 13.2% 10.1% 4.4% 0.8%
Jason D'Agostino 14.9% 16.5% 17.9% 15.6% 13.5% 9.2% 6.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Cassie Todd 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 4.9% 6.2% 9.0% 14.2% 19.2% 28.3% 8.4%
Conner Killham 6.1% 4.4% 6.3% 9.5% 10.7% 12.3% 15.0% 15.9% 11.9% 6.5% 1.4%
John Sipp 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 3.9% 4.2% 7.3% 11.2% 14.1% 20.5% 25.9% 6.3%
Max Thompson 6.9% 7.8% 10.1% 12.2% 16.7% 11.9% 13.3% 10.0% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7%
Mark Thompson 1.9% 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 5.9% 9.4% 10.8% 14.8% 21.0% 20.8% 4.1%
Ryan Welch 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.9% 2.9% 4.3% 9.9% 78.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.