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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.80+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.92+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.76+3.78vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.89-2.91vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.88-0.60vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.38-2.70vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.72-0.42vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-2.87vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.89-2.65vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-1.35-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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3.42University of South Florida2.920.2%1st Place
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7.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
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2.09College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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5.4Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.3Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.58Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.13Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.35North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.39Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason D'Agostino | 12.5% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 17.0% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 24.0% | 6.8% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 6.2% |
| Charles Rees | 43.2% | 27.2% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 4.5% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Mark Thompson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Welch | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.