Race 8A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Rees 42.4% 28.1% 15.0% 10.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 16.3% 20.1% 21.3% 16.4% 10.1% 8.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 12.8% 16.0% 19.4% 18.0% 14.3% 10.1% 5.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
John Roberts 5.6% 6.8% 7.4% 10.9% 16.1% 16.5% 14.7% 11.2% 7.7% 2.7% 0.4%
Daniel Lawless 9.7% 12.6% 15.2% 15.5% 16.0% 11.6% 10.2% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Cassie Todd 1.4% 2.4% 3.9% 3.7% 4.9% 8.3% 12.2% 13.3% 19.8% 24.1% 6.0%
Marten Kendrick 4.9% 5.8% 6.6% 10.1% 15.3% 14.3% 13.5% 14.1% 8.8% 6.1% 0.5%
Benjamin Ringrose 2.6% 2.1% 3.1% 4.8% 6.2% 11.8% 12.3% 14.7% 18.2% 18.6% 5.6%
Alexander Katsis 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 5.6% 7.1% 11.2% 16.1% 18.8% 22.2% 6.9%
Ryan Welch 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 3.5% 5.7% 8.9% 76.7%
Mark Thompson 1.8% 3.1% 4.5% 6.2% 7.5% 9.6% 14.1% 15.6% 17.4% 16.3% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.