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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.25+3.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33-0.48vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.53+1.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.34-2.55vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.56-0.74vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85-2.22vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.67+0.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy0.26-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
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5.98University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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2.52Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
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5.22McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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2.45U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
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5.26SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
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4.78Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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8.24Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 16.9% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 5.7% |
| Daniel Eichler | 29.8% | 26.3% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Abraao York | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 1.9% |
| Devin Laviano | 31.9% | 27.5% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 6.4% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| William Nunn | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 16.6% | 66.6% |
| David Geer | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 37.9% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.