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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+1.07vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+1.62vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.88+2.56vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.92-1.57vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.76+0.48vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.31vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.72-1.22vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.89-2.70vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-1.35-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07College of Charleston3.890.4%1st Place
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3.62Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.56Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.43University of South Florida2.920.2%1st Place
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6.13Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
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7.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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7.78Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.3North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.42Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 42.8% | 27.5% | 16.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 14.3% | 16.7% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Roberts | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 16.8% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 4.9% |
| Cassie Todd | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 22.2% | 5.5% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 7.4% |
| Mark Thompson | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Welch | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.