Race 10A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Rees 43.3% 26.5% 17.4% 7.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Roberts 5.9% 8.2% 8.2% 14.0% 14.5% 14.5% 13.4% 11.0% 8.1% 2.0% 0.2%
Daniel Lawless 8.8% 10.8% 14.4% 14.8% 18.8% 11.7% 11.1% 6.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 13.4% 16.7% 18.6% 18.6% 13.3% 10.8% 5.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 17.0% 20.4% 19.1% 17.1% 10.5% 9.1% 3.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 3.5% 5.4% 7.6% 9.9% 12.0% 14.4% 15.8% 12.4% 10.7% 7.3% 1.0%
Benjamin Ringrose 2.0% 3.9% 3.2% 4.1% 6.5% 10.1% 11.7% 17.1% 18.0% 18.6% 4.8%
Mark Thompson 2.6% 2.1% 4.8% 4.7% 8.5% 11.3% 13.0% 16.1% 15.2% 18.6% 3.1%
Alexander Katsis 1.9% 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 6.2% 7.6% 10.9% 16.0% 19.7% 20.8% 7.3%
Cassie Todd 1.3% 2.9% 3.5% 4.9% 5.6% 7.8% 12.4% 13.5% 19.9% 22.1% 6.1%
Ryan Welch 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 4.7% 9.6% 77.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.