Race 11A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jason D'Agostino 14.0% 16.6% 18.4% 18.5% 14.8% 10.0% 4.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Baird 17.9% 18.9% 20.0% 15.7% 12.9% 8.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Rees 41.8% 27.6% 16.4% 9.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 8.3% 12.0% 12.7% 17.5% 16.6% 13.7% 9.9% 6.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
John Roberts 5.5% 7.5% 11.2% 12.0% 13.7% 15.3% 11.9% 12.1% 7.6% 3.1% 0.1%
Marten Kendrick 3.8% 5.6% 7.9% 8.5% 11.7% 15.4% 14.5% 13.7% 11.0% 6.5% 1.4%
Benjamin Ringrose 2.4% 3.6% 3.1% 3.4% 7.3% 9.6% 12.9% 14.2% 19.0% 20.1% 4.4%
Cassie Todd 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 4.5% 6.2% 8.5% 13.5% 13.8% 18.8% 20.9% 6.8%
Mark Thompson 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.8% 6.0% 8.5% 13.6% 17.4% 16.7% 19.0% 4.9%
Ryan Welch 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 1.6% 3.1% 5.0% 10.5% 76.4%
Alexander Katsis 1.4% 2.7% 3.6% 5.3% 7.2% 7.7% 13.7% 14.8% 18.8% 19.0% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.