Race 12A

saisa-fall-coed-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jason D'Agostino 13.9% 16.0% 18.8% 18.5% 15.7% 9.7% 4.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 9.2% 12.9% 14.2% 17.1% 14.1% 14.1% 11.1% 4.2% 2.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Charles Rees 41.7% 26.8% 16.5% 8.1% 5.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Ringrose 1.3% 2.4% 3.4% 3.5% 6.1% 8.2% 11.0% 17.3% 19.6% 20.9% 6.3%
Andrew Baird 17.3% 19.8% 20.1% 14.9% 11.4% 7.8% 5.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
John Roberts 5.0% 8.9% 8.3% 12.8% 14.1% 17.4% 12.3% 11.2% 6.0% 3.7% 0.3%
Alexander Katsis 2.6% 3.2% 2.8% 4.7% 5.4% 9.8% 13.1% 16.5% 15.6% 21.6% 4.7%
Marten Kendrick 4.8% 4.7% 8.5% 9.7% 13.4% 14.1% 15.0% 12.5% 11.8% 4.8% 0.7%
Mark Thompson 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 5.5% 7.8% 8.3% 13.8% 15.7% 18.6% 16.7% 5.2%
Cassie Todd 1.5% 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 6.2% 7.9% 11.4% 14.1% 20.7% 21.4% 5.9%
Ryan Welch 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% 3.9% 4.1% 10.3% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.