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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.22vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.59-0.55vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.88+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.82+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.66vs Predicted
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7Davidson College0.04+1.45vs Predicted
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8Duke University1.19-1.66vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.85-1.98vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.30-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.7Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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2.45University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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5.07Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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6.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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8.45Davidson College0.040.0%1st Place
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6.34Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.02North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.97Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 38.1% | 30.2% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 12.4% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 29.9% | 27.5% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 5.1% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Kailey Savacool | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 9.0% |
| Clifford Gilman | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 40.5% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 11.2% |
| Joshua Kim | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.