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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82+2.32vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70-0.29vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.91+2.01vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.88-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-0.15vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.85-0.84vs Predicted
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9Davidson College0.04-0.47vs Predicted
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10Duke University1.19-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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2.44University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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5.32University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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3.71Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.01Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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5.13Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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7.16North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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8.53Davidson College0.040.0%1st Place
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6.57Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 36.7% | 27.9% | 18.5% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 31.0% | 26.6% | 22.3% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Siemers | 10.8% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 22.0% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stuart Wallace | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 15.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Kailey Savacool | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 10.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 16.2% |
| Clifford Gilman | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 47.5% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.