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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+2.36vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.33+0.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.34-0.53vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.56+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.25+0.72vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.53-0.65vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85-2.20vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy0.26-0.74vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.67-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
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2.6Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
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2.47U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
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5.19SUNY Maritime College1.560.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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5.35McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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4.8Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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8.26Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 18.1% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 26.5% | 27.4% | 23.1% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 32.6% | 25.7% | 19.1% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 2.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 5.6% |
| Mark Abraao York | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| David Geer | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 36.7% | 24.2% |
| William Nunn | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 19.2% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.