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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.27vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.59-0.52vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.15+0.76vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.83+2.14vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85+1.18vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.82-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-1.18vs Predicted
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9Duke University1.19-2.41vs Predicted
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10Davidson College0.04-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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3.79Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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2.48University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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4.76Jacksonville University2.150.1%1st Place
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7.14Georgia Institute of Technology0.830.0%1st Place
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7.18North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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6.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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6.59Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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8.54Davidson College0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 36.9% | 29.8% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 12.2% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 29.9% | 26.8% | 21.4% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Steo | 7.0% | 7.4% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Sparkman | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 15.1% |
| Kara Wheeler | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 15.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Kailey Savacool | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 11.2% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 7.9% |
| Clifford Gilman | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.