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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.82+2.33vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59-2.61vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85+1.12vs Predicted
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7Duke University1.19-0.48vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.83-0.85vs Predicted
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9Davidson College0.04-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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5.18Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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3.7Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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2.39University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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7.12North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.52Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.15Georgia Institute of Technology0.830.0%1st Place
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8.51Davidson College0.040.0%1st Place
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6.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 37.6% | 27.4% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Siemers | 11.1% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 31.0% | 30.1% | 19.9% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kara Wheeler | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 15.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
| Jack Sparkman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 16.1% |
| Clifford Gilman | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 47.2% |
| Kailey Savacool | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.