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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Davidson 37.6% 27.4% 17.2% 10.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 6.2% 6.5% 10.0% 15.8% 18.0% 13.9% 13.4% 9.7% 4.4% 2.1%
Kyle Magno 4.8% 6.9% 10.2% 13.0% 15.2% 19.2% 13.7% 9.7% 5.8% 1.5%
Timothy Siemers 11.1% 16.0% 22.5% 20.0% 13.8% 9.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Sean Cornell 31.0% 30.1% 19.9% 11.3% 4.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Kara Wheeler 2.7% 2.4% 4.4% 6.8% 6.8% 11.4% 13.1% 17.1% 20.3% 15.0%
Vincent Miao 2.0% 3.8% 5.7% 7.8% 10.6% 15.1% 16.9% 17.1% 14.4% 6.6%
Jack Sparkman 1.8% 2.4% 4.2% 6.3% 9.2% 10.4% 14.4% 16.3% 18.9% 16.1%
Clifford Gilman 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 4.1% 5.7% 7.3% 10.7% 18.9% 47.2%
Kailey Savacool 1.9% 3.2% 4.5% 6.4% 12.7% 11.1% 15.3% 17.1% 16.6% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.