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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+1.27vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.59-0.53vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.82-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.82+0.16vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85+1.02vs Predicted
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7Duke University1.19-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-1.36vs Predicted
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9Davidson College0.04-0.61vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.30-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27College of Charleston3.730.4%1st Place
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5.11Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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2.47University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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3.49Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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7.02North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.43Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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6.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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8.39Davidson College0.040.0%1st Place
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8.01Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 36.3% | 29.6% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.6% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 30.8% | 24.9% | 22.7% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 12.2% | 18.8% | 22.9% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Kara Wheeler | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 12.7% |
| Vincent Miao | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 14.7% | 8.1% |
| Clifford Gilman | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 25.1% | 38.9% |
| Joshua Kim | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 21.5% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.