Race 1A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Rachel Bryer 14.7% 15.6% 13.6% 10.4% 7.9% 8.5% 7.4% 5.0% 5.5% 3.6% 3.1% 2.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Charlotte List 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 3.6% 6.0% 5.8% 6.2% 7.2% 6.8% 6.1% 7.2% 9.4% 9.5% 11.4% 9.0%
Elise Gehling 3.4% 3.5% 4.2% 3.7% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 4.4% 6.0% 6.1% 7.6% 8.6% 11.8% 15.4% 11.5%
Sarah Williams 7.8% 8.2% 7.7% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 7.6% 7.4% 8.0% 5.6% 6.7% 6.7% 4.7% 3.3% 2.1%
Dana Rohde 10.1% 10.0% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 8.0% 8.5% 9.3% 6.3% 6.8% 4.6% 4.2% 3.7% 2.4% 0.7%
Casey Klingler 6.0% 7.8% 5.9% 5.2% 8.1% 8.1% 7.5% 7.3% 8.7% 7.8% 8.9% 6.5% 5.3% 4.5% 2.4%
Erin Mullins 7.4% 6.5% 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 7.8% 7.5% 7.2% 6.9% 9.2% 5.7% 6.1% 6.6% 4.5% 3.7%
Hannah Polster 9.9% 9.5% 9.8% 8.5% 8.9% 6.4% 8.7% 7.1% 7.2% 7.2% 5.9% 4.9% 3.3% 1.6% 1.1%
Amina Brown 5.7% 4.8% 5.9% 8.8% 6.5% 7.7% 6.6% 9.0% 7.3% 7.5% 7.9% 8.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6%
Greta Farrell 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 6.1% 5.7% 8.9% 11.2% 14.8% 19.5%
Allyson Donahue 8.7% 9.6% 9.8% 9.3% 7.4% 7.4% 8.3% 7.3% 5.8% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 4.6% 2.7% 1.4%
Taylor Ladd 4.8% 2.7% 4.6% 6.2% 6.4% 5.7% 6.3% 7.7% 6.8% 6.8% 8.4% 10.1% 9.2% 7.2% 7.1%
Janel DeCurtis 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 3.7% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.6% 5.8% 6.9% 9.4% 16.7% 32.5%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.8% 5.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 7.8% 8.2% 9.4% 6.7% 7.5% 5.9% 4.3%
Lindsey Baab 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 8.5% 6.7% 7.7% 7.9% 6.1% 7.4% 8.4% 7.2% 5.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.