← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.42+5.22vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College3.06+5.40vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.75+5.59vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.84+0.93vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.21+2.09vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.49+3.61vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.05+0.53vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.96-0.08vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.34+1.03vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.86+1.63vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.35-4.40vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.18vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.91-4.60vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.20-6.96vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.22Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.4Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.59Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
4.93University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.09Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.61Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.53Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.92University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
10.03Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.63Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.6Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
8.4Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
-
7.04Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte List | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 31.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 19.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.