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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+9.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.82vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+7.01vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+3.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.34vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.67vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.61vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-0.40vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.57vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-3.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-1.42vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-3.60vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-4.84vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-6.88vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.67Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.53Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 17.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 12.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Amina Brown | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.