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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.19vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+5.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.58vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.64vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+1.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-0.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34+0.17vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86+0.57vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-6.85vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-3.18vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.44vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.41Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.58Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.69Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Amina Brown | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 31.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.