← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University2.73+2.36vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.33+0.61vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.34-0.52vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame1.25+1.67vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.85-0.30vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.56-0.74vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy0.26+0.29vs Predicted
-
8McGill University1.53-2.64vs Predicted
-
9Loyola University New Orleans-0.67-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.36Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
-
2.61Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
-
2.48U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
-
5.67University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
-
4.7Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
-
5.26SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
-
7.29U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.36McGill University1.530.1%1st Place
-
8.25Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 17.3% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 26.6% | 28.4% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 32.5% | 24.1% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 15.2% | 3.7% |
| John O'Riordan | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Rudy Normann | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 9.6% | 1.6% |
| David Geer | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 38.2% | 23.3% |
| Mark Abraao York | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 2.6% |
| William Nunn | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 16.9% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.