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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.54vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.84vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+1.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.80vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+1.60vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-0.97vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-2.86vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-2.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.14vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-1.28vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.34-3.99vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.6Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.72Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.2% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 9.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 18.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 33.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% |
| Amina Brown | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.