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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.97vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+5.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+3.04vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+2.98vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+5.59vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.54vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.86vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-4.38vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-1.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-3.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.85vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.06-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.59Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Amina Brown | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 30.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 18.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 14.6% |
| Charlotte List | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.