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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.47vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.19vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.34+6.95vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.66vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+2.68vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-1.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+0.04vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.78vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.54vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-1.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86+0.59vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.20-4.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-6.12vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.95Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.59Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 12.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 31.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 19.7% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.