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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.50vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+7.32vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+4.52vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+0.97vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+2.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.21vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.75vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-0.38vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-0.87vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-0.18vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.62vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.47vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.82Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.4% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 15.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 31.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.