Race 11A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Erin Mullins 7.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.5% 7.7% 7.2% 6.5% 7.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.4% 6.3% 6.5% 4.1% 3.4%
Rachel Bryer 14.9% 16.0% 11.9% 10.7% 9.8% 8.4% 7.3% 6.5% 4.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Sarah Williams 7.7% 7.2% 8.5% 8.5% 7.7% 7.9% 8.4% 6.9% 7.4% 8.0% 7.4% 6.2% 4.6% 2.2% 1.4%
Casey Klingler 6.4% 7.5% 6.1% 8.6% 6.8% 7.3% 7.5% 6.4% 8.1% 7.9% 6.3% 7.3% 5.7% 4.9% 3.2%
Dana Rohde 10.4% 9.2% 8.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.7% 7.4% 5.8% 5.8% 3.5% 3.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Janel DeCurtis 1.9% 2.6% 1.3% 3.0% 3.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 5.7% 7.5% 10.4% 17.0% 29.9%
MaryClaire Kiernan 6.4% 5.4% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 6.1% 9.7% 7.4% 8.1% 7.8% 6.5% 6.3% 3.5%
Taylor Ladd 5.2% 4.3% 5.9% 5.6% 5.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.7% 6.1% 7.9% 8.5% 10.0% 7.4% 6.8%
Elise Gehling 3.2% 2.7% 3.6% 3.7% 3.4% 5.2% 5.5% 5.5% 6.0% 7.6% 7.9% 10.1% 9.6% 13.5% 12.5%
Hannah Polster 8.7% 9.9% 9.4% 8.1% 8.7% 9.4% 8.3% 8.7% 6.3% 6.6% 4.5% 5.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Allyson Donahue 8.8% 9.4% 9.5% 7.6% 8.8% 8.2% 6.8% 8.3% 6.1% 7.0% 5.5% 5.1% 4.5% 2.5% 1.9%
Lindsey Baab 6.7% 5.9% 8.3% 8.3% 6.1% 8.1% 9.2% 7.0% 6.6% 8.6% 7.4% 5.6% 5.4% 4.9% 1.9%
Charlotte List 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 4.8% 5.5% 4.9% 3.5% 5.6% 6.0% 5.1% 9.8% 9.1% 10.8% 12.6% 12.0%
Amina Brown 5.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.1% 8.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 7.7% 7.1% 6.3% 5.9% 3.3%
Greta Farrell 2.7% 4.3% 2.9% 2.5% 3.9% 3.6% 5.3% 4.6% 5.8% 5.7% 6.1% 9.1% 10.4% 14.4% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.