Race 12A

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sarah Williams 8.8% 7.5% 8.7% 8.0% 8.0% 8.8% 6.3% 7.6% 7.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 4.4% 4.0% 2.3%
Rachel Bryer 16.1% 15.5% 10.8% 11.8% 10.0% 8.0% 7.8% 6.2% 3.1% 3.6% 3.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Dana Rohde 10.4% 10.0% 9.9% 8.8% 7.7% 9.8% 8.5% 6.6% 8.1% 5.9% 5.8% 3.2% 2.4% 2.3% 0.6%
Erin Mullins 6.8% 6.9% 6.9% 7.5% 7.5% 6.7% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 7.5% 7.3% 7.6% 6.1% 5.3% 2.3%
Elise Gehling 3.5% 3.9% 2.9% 3.6% 5.1% 3.7% 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 5.0% 7.2% 9.5% 12.3% 12.3% 14.6%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.4% 4.9% 7.3% 4.6% 6.8% 5.8% 7.4% 7.8% 7.6% 9.6% 8.3% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 2.7%
Janel DeCurtis 2.7% 2.6% 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3% 5.1% 5.9% 8.6% 9.4% 15.7% 29.8%
Charlotte List 3.7% 4.5% 3.0% 4.6% 4.3% 5.1% 6.4% 5.4% 5.6% 7.7% 8.0% 9.3% 10.5% 10.6% 11.3%
Greta Farrell 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 2.7% 4.5% 4.3% 6.0% 6.1% 7.1% 6.5% 9.7% 10.8% 13.0% 18.3%
Lindsey Baab 7.4% 5.6% 9.1% 7.7% 7.9% 8.6% 7.1% 8.2% 8.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 4.9% 4.0% 1.5%
Amina Brown 5.4% 6.8% 6.9% 7.2% 6.7% 7.0% 6.2% 6.5% 8.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 7.3% 3.7%
Taylor Ladd 3.8% 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 7.2% 7.0% 5.5% 7.2% 6.9% 7.6% 7.0% 8.6% 10.5% 7.7% 7.8%
Allyson Donahue 8.8% 7.4% 8.1% 9.4% 7.4% 7.4% 8.4% 8.4% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 4.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.4%
Casey Klingler 6.0% 6.3% 7.8% 8.2% 6.8% 7.5% 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.3% 7.4% 6.1% 6.2% 5.2% 2.4%
Hannah Polster 9.3% 11.3% 9.5% 8.2% 8.6% 7.5% 8.9% 7.0% 7.3% 5.6% 5.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.