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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.44+7.74vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+4.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+4.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.82vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+5.26vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-1.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.25vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-2.96vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-1.11vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-3.56vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-2.51vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-4.11vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.33-4.79vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.742.440.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.75Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 19.8% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Emily Petno | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.