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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.05vs Predicted
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22.44+6.68vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+4.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+3.94vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+4.32vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99-0.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36+0.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-5.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.51vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.05-2.55vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.02-7.35vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.682.440.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.94Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 10.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% |
| Emily Petno | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 20.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.