← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.34+1.48vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College1.56+3.43vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.73+0.35vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.85+0.66vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.33-2.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame1.25-0.24vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy0.26+0.29vs Predicted
-
8McGill University1.53-2.65vs Predicted
-
9Loyola University New Orleans-0.67-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.48U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
-
5.43SUNY Maritime College1.560.0%1st Place
-
3.35Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
-
4.66Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
-
2.46Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
-
5.76University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.29U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.35McGill University1.530.1%1st Place
-
8.23Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Laviano | 29.3% | 28.8% | 21.0% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 15.6% | 19.5% | 21.3% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Eichler | 33.0% | 25.8% | 18.7% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 24.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% |
| David Geer | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 38.3% | 23.1% |
| Mark Abraao York | 6.1% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
| William Nunn | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 17.1% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.