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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+6.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+4.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+2.82vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+4.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+3.27vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+0.39vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.66vs Predicted
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92.44-0.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-4.21vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-6.20vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.05-2.50vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-5.99vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.95Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.862.440.0%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.5Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Emily Petno | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% |
| Mary Paz | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 20.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.