Race 4B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Isabella Loosbrock 11.1% 11.3% 9.8% 10.3% 7.8% 7.9% 6.9% 7.3% 6.0% 5.0% 5.6% 3.7% 3.4% 1.9% 2.0%
Kayla Ellis 5.3% 6.7% 7.0% 6.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.2% 6.6% 6.2% 7.1% 8.2% 6.1% 7.0% 7.0% 5.5%
Kelsey Shakin 4.7% 4.2% 5.8% 5.3% 5.8% 5.8% 5.4% 4.8% 6.7% 7.4% 7.5% 8.2% 9.7% 9.0% 9.7%
Lydia Grasberger 7.5% 7.7% 7.9% 6.9% 7.5% 8.0% 7.0% 7.6% 6.4% 6.0% 6.3% 5.6% 6.6% 5.4% 3.6%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 6.5% 6.3% 7.0% 6.5% 5.4% 7.1% 5.7% 6.8% 6.1% 7.4% 8.7% 6.9% 6.9% 7.2% 5.5%
Sarah Hermus 13.0% 10.5% 10.9% 10.3% 10.4% 8.8% 9.0% 7.3% 5.9% 4.3% 2.8% 3.1% 1.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Mary Paz 6.3% 5.0% 4.5% 5.7% 4.1% 6.3% 6.1% 7.3% 5.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.9% 5.8% 9.8% 8.7%
Annie Hughes 6.5% 7.1% 6.9% 6.4% 6.5% 6.6% 7.4% 7.0% 6.9% 8.2% 5.8% 7.5% 6.4% 6.1% 4.7%
Taylor Gavula 5.8% 5.1% 6.2% 7.1% 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 8.4% 6.9% 5.8% 7.6% 7.7% 7.2% 5.7% 5.3%
Victoria McGruer 3.3% 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 5.3% 4.5% 4.2% 4.4% 6.9% 5.6% 6.2% 9.1% 9.5% 12.0% 19.9%
Kate Shaner 4.1% 4.9% 5.2% 4.1% 5.8% 5.4% 5.6% 6.0% 6.5% 6.7% 7.3% 5.8% 9.7% 10.1% 12.8%
Emily Petno 4.7% 3.5% 4.6% 5.0% 6.4% 5.2% 7.0% 7.0% 6.4% 7.1% 6.0% 8.7% 8.8% 10.0% 9.6%
Megan Yeigh 8.2% 7.5% 7.7% 8.5% 6.7% 8.8% 6.5% 6.8% 9.1% 7.5% 6.6% 5.4% 5.2% 3.1% 2.4%
Alexandra Maurillo 5.1% 5.6% 5.1% 6.9% 6.5% 4.5% 7.6% 6.3% 5.7% 7.9% 7.5% 7.3% 8.3% 7.8% 7.9%
Sophie Hibben 7.9% 12.0% 8.5% 7.3% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.4% 8.4% 6.4% 5.9% 6.0% 3.9% 3.1% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.