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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.51vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+3.83vs Predicted
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32.44+5.61vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+2.63vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+3.68vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.22vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+0.84vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67-0.14vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33+0.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.52-1.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.76+0.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.70vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-3.75vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-8.63vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.612.440.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.86Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.45Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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11.05Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.39Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.0% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mary Paz | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Emily Petno | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 29.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.