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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+4.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+4.74vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+1.90vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+2.32vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+3.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99-1.29vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.57vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-1.28vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-3.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.52-3.37vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.76-1.77vs Predicted
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142.44-5.36vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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11.23Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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8.642.440.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Emily Petno | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 29.9% |
| Mary Paz | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.