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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+5.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+6.49vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+5.93vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+3.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-1.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+1.11vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-1.13vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+0.41vs Predicted
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112.44-2.23vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-1.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-5.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.41vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.02-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.01Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.41Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.772.440.0%1st Place
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10.42Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.59Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Emily Petno | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 19.6% |
| Mary Paz | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 19.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.