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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+9.13vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+6.77vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+3.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+2.96vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+4.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-0.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.22vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33+0.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-5.45vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-3.80vs Predicted
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132.44-3.93vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-6.75vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.96Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.072.440.0%1st Place
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7.25Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 20.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 17.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% |
| Mary Paz | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Emily Petno | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.