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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+5.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+3.84vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+5.25vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.05+6.05vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.58vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98+4.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+1.97vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+1.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.92vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-2.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-4.29vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-3.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-5.40vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.29vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.84Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.49Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.97Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.99Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.71Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.4% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 17.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 19.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Emily Petno | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.