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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.99+5.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+4.44vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+5.66vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+4.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+1.93vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+3.05vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.64vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+0.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-2.61vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.45vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.59vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-4.98vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.93Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Yeigh | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Emily Petno | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 16.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 20.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.