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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.18vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+5.79vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+5.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+4.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+1.92vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+1.22vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36+1.07vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98+1.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05+0.23vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-4.86vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.57vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-7.29vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.02-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.92Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.07Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Emily Petno | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 18.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 18.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.