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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+7.26vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+4.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+2.98vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+4.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+4.19vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+3.15vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+0.94vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67-0.05vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-4.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.98-0.64vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-1.55vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-5.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.91vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.02-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.95Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.61Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Petno | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 20.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 19.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.