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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+2.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.34+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.25+2.83vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.53+1.23vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.33-2.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy0.26+1.24vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85-2.21vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.56-2.72vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.67-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
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2.58U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
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5.83University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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5.23McGill University1.530.1%1st Place
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2.46Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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4.79Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.28SUNY Maritime College1.560.1%1st Place
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8.25Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 17.0% | 18.6% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 26.2% | 29.0% | 20.5% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 25.9% | 15.6% | 4.1% |
| Mark Abraao York | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Eichler | 33.5% | 25.4% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Geer | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 37.7% | 23.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Rudy Normann | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.3% |
| William Nunn | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 16.8% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.