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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+7.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.22vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+4.77vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+2.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.43vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+2.84vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.39+3.50vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01+3.93vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-0.48vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-6.27vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.53+2.63vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-0.85vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-5.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.10vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.75vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.56-2.66vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland1.00-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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6.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.77George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.26Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.84Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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12.93Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.52Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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14.63Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.21Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.25SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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14.34Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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15.48University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 6.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 24.4% |
| Austin Powers | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Casey Brown | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 19.1% |
| Joseph Crouse | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.